Current:Home > FinanceMost believe Trump probably guilty of crime as his NYC trial comes to an end, CBS News poll finds-InfoLens
Most believe Trump probably guilty of crime as his NYC trial comes to an end, CBS News poll finds
View Date:2024-12-23 11:58:13
As Donald Trump's trial in New York City nears closing arguments, most Americans believe he is guilty of a crime in this case. But they are less sure what the jury will do after it deliberates next week.
Fifty-six percent — a majority — say Trump is definitely or probably guilty of a crime in this case, in which he has been charged with falsifying business records to hide a "hush money" payment and influence the 2016 election.
Opinions are highly partisan, with nearly all Democrats believing Trump is guilty and about eight in 10 Republicans saying the opposite. Republicans are less certain in their views. While three in four Democrats say he is "definitely" guilty, only half of Republicans say he is "definitely" not.
The public is more split on what they think the jury will decide, with about half expecting jurors to find Trump guilty and half saying the opposite. And views on both sides are far from certain. For example, far more say jurors will "probably" convict Trump than "definitely" convict him.
If people believe Trump's guilty, they tend to believe the jury will convict him. And vice versa for those who believe he isn't guilty of a crime. But about a third in each group expect the jury to decide the opposite of what they themselves believe.
Overall, about three quarters of Americans report having heard or read at least some about the trial. And those who say they have heard "a lot" about it are the most polarized in their views — they are likelier to identify as strong partisans and express more confidence in Trump's guilt or innocence, potentially blunting the impact of a verdict on the public's views.
This CBS News/YouGov survey was conducted with a nationally representative sample of 1,402 U.S. adult residents interviewed between May 14-21, 2024. The data includes an oversample in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. The sample was weighted by gender, age, race, and education, based on the U.S. Census American Community Survey and Current Population Survey, as well as past vote. The margin of error is ±4.4 points.
Toplines
- In:
- Donald Trump
- Stormy Daniels
- Trial
Kabir Khanna is Deputy Director, Elections & Data Analytics at CBS News. He conducts surveys, develops statistical models, and projects races at the network Decision Desk. His scholarly research centers on political behavior and methodology. He holds a PhD in political science from Princeton University.
TwitterveryGood! (7)
Related
- UFC 309: Jon Jones vs. Stipe Miocic fight card, odds, how to watch, date
- The Most Stylish Earrings To Wear This Summer, From Hoops to Huggies
- TikToker Bella Brave's Mom Shares Health Update Amid Daughter's Medically Induced Coma
- Home insurance costs — already soaring — are likely to keep climbing. Here's why.
- Brianna “Chickenfry” LaPaglia Explains Why She’s Not Removing Tattoo of Ex Zach Bryan’s Lyrics
- Previous bidder tries again with new offshore wind proposal in New Jersey
- Deion Sanders and son Shilo address bankruptcy case
- The Esports World Cup, with millions at stake, is underway: Schedule, how to watch
- IAT Community Introduce
- Benji Gregory, former child star on the 80s sitcom ‘ALF,’ dies at 46
Ranking
- Unexpected pairing: New documentary tells a heartwarming story between Vietnam enemies
- Former U.S. Rep. Tommy Robinson, who gained notoriety as an Arkansas sheriff, dies at 82
- North Carolina governor commutes 4 sentences, pardons 4 others
- Oregon police find $200,000 worth of stolen Lego sets at local toy store
- Mark Zuckerberg Records NSFW Song Get Low for Priscilla Chan on Anniversary
- Owner offers reward after video captures thieves stealing $2 million in baseball cards
- Fast-moving fire destroys Philadelphia apartment building, displacing dozens of residents
- This week on Sunday Morning (July 14)
Recommendation
-
John Krasinski is People's Sexiest Man Alive. What that says about us.
-
Vermonters pummeled by floods exactly 1 year apart begin another cleanup
-
US wholesale inflation picked up in June in sign that some price pressures remain elevated
-
What’s the value of planting trees? Conservation groups say a new formula can tell them.
-
Tennis Channel suspends reporter after comments on Barbora Krejcikova's appearance
-
Woman swimming off Japanese beach was swept into the Pacific, but rescued 37 hours later and 50 miles away
-
Buckingham Palace's East Wing opens for tours for the first time, and tickets sell out in a day
-
Kim Kardashian Shares Tip of Finger Broke Off During Accident More Painful Than Childbirth